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Adrian Raftery
Professor of Statistics and Sociology at University of Washington
Adrian E. Raftery is a prominent statistician and sociologist, currently serving as the Boeing International Professor of Statistics and Sociology at the University of Washington in Seattle. Born in 1955 in Dublin, Ireland, he has made significant contributions to statistical methodology, particularly in the fields of social sciences, health, and environmental studies.
Education and Career
Raftery completed his undergraduate studies at Trinity College Dublin, earning a B.A. in Mathematics in 1976 and an M.Sc. in Statistics and Operations Research in 1977. He obtained his doctorate in mathematical statistics from the Université Pierre et Marie Curie in Paris in 1980, under the supervision of Paul Deheuvels. After working as a lecturer at Trinity College Dublin from 1980 to 1986, he joined the University of Washington, where he has been a faculty member since then.13
He was the founding Director of the Center for Statistics and Social Sciences at the University of Washington from 1999 to 2009 and has published over 170 refereed articles throughout his career. His research primarily focuses on Bayesian model selection, model-based clustering, and probabilistic forecasting methods.23
Achievements
Raftery has received numerous accolades for his work, including being elected as a Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences in 2003 and as a member of the United States National Academy of Sciences in 2009. He was recognized as one of the world's most cited researchers in mathematics for the decade from 1995 to 2005 by Thomson-ISI.123
Research Contributions
His research has led to advancements in several areas:
- Bayesian Model Selection: Development of methods that improve model accuracy in social research.
- Probabilistic Weather Forecasting: Innovative approaches that enhance forecasting reliability.
- Population Projections: New techniques for estimating demographic changes under various scenarios.123
Raftery's work has had a profound impact on both theoretical statistics and practical applications across various disciplines.
Current Status
As of now, Raftery holds the title of Blumstein-Jordan Professor Emeritus at the University of Washington, reflecting his esteemed career and contributions to academia.45

