Suggestions
Ben Tregoe
Helping brands scale by unlocking cash, increasing cash flow and accessing capital
Ben Tregoe is a seasoned professional dedicated to assisting DTC (Direct-to-Consumer) founders in optimizing their businesses through enhanced data analysis, insights, and strategic planning. With a rich educational background in American History and experience in various prominent organizations, Ben brings a wealth of expertise to the table.
Highlights
“Manage to cash, report to GAAP.” - James Shein.
The critical tool in managing to cash is the 13 week cash flow model. As Shein, Sands and Mehtab all forcefully show, it’s the critical tool in turnarounds.
But even if you are not in turnaround or distressed, the 13 week cash flow model should be central in your day to day. Brands are cash intensive. And omnichannel brands have a different cash cycle for each channel.
For DTC, you receive cash in a couple days from sales. But in wholesale, you may have extended payment terms from a big mass retailer, but do they pay on time, consistently late or you aren’t sure? Knowing where you stand today, this week, this month and this quarter in terms of cash is absolutely critical.
Your outgoing cash is critical to get right too. Maybe you can extend some suppliers. But others like Meta will give some slack, but then shut you down. If you have debt with fixed payments, then you have covenants.
A friend once closed on some subordinated debt and used some of the cash to pay suppliers thus dramatically lowering the cash balance before a second tranche and tripped a covenant. The lender was ultimately understanding, but it's not how you want to start your relationship.
And your biggest cash concern is payroll. Get cash wrong and you can quickly move from the zone of insolvency to a forced liquidation or bankruptcy.
A monthly model or P&L does not have the granularity needed to manage cash properly because it nets the incoming and outgoing cash in the same period. I have seen models where they try to hack the cash projection by subtracting big cash outflows like inventory from EBITDA. Don’t do this.
Manage to cash using a detailed 13 week cash flow model and build the necessary processes to keep this accurate. This includes checking your model’s projections against reality and making the improvements to ensure high accuracy.
Once this muscle is built inside your org, you can extend to 26 weeks. Use your monthly 3 statement model for longer term strategy and scenario planning. But don’t try to rely on it for managing the day to day, week to week or even month to month cash flows.
You can build your own 13 week cash flow model, but if you want a template or headstart, here are some free ones.
eCommerce Fuel Andrew Youderian at eCommerce Fuel has a nice template and helpful guide. https://lnkd.in/gPQcAA-C
The James Shein model is the most comprehensive I have seen. I don’t know if it’s a class exercise, but the formulas don’t seem to get copied over so you will need to do some work before you use it. That said, it’s a good template for someone on the team unfamiliar with how to set up a good 13 week CF model and maintain it. It has helpful notes in the model. https://lnkd.in/gFc3i39T
Eric Andrews is a wealth of information. He has a ton of good and helpful videos and offers courses as well. https://lnkd.in/gZVJMrwr
