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Will Oberndorf
Managing Partner at OEL Ventures
Will Oberndorf is a Venture Partner at Core Innovation Capital and the Managing Partner at OEL Ventures. He has a strong focus on investing in early-stage companies within the FinTech, Real Estate Tech, and Insurance Tech sectors. Oberndorf holds a Bachelor of Arts in International Relations and a Master of Business Administration, both from Stanford University. He has been working at Core Innovation Capital since 2020, where he leverages his experience to identify and support high-potential startups.124
Oberndorf is based in San Francisco, California, and is known for his expertise in venture capital, particularly in sectors like fintech, insuretech, proptech, and enterprise software.35 His educational background and professional experience have made him a trusted advisor to his portfolio companies.3
Highlights
Very interesting to see this disclaimer at the very end of a GS equity research report: "You are not permitted to publish, transmit, or otherwise reproduce this information, in whole or in part, in any format to any third party without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs. This foregoing restriction includes, without limitation, using, extracting, downloading or retrieving this information, in whole or in part, to train or finetune a third-party machine learning or artificial intelligence system, or to provide or reproduce this information, in whole or in part, as a prompt or input to any such system."
Learnings from 2023 -Venture investors only want to pay for current traction now. They no longer want to take growth risk. Hence the days of paying multiples on 2-3 years out revenue projections have now reverted back to paying current ARR multiples (with the exception of companies in the AI space). -ZIRP unfortunately led to a lot of bad habits in entrepreneurship, on behalf of both investors and founders (thank you Adrian Jones for the call out here). However, some of the good habits are coming back into place. Founders are raising what they need to hit milestones, they are leading sales at the early stages and not hiring sales personnel before they have even figured out the sales playbook, they are more disciplined with hiring / scale on teams (i.e. proving you can do more with less), chief of staffs are no longer being hired at the seed stage, etc. On the investment side, better diligence, spending more time getting to know founders and the market, being more thoughtful about governance (with the exception of AI maybe and the OpenAI fiasco?). There are many others, but I’ve been particularly impressed with the good habits coming back to the entrepreneurship ecosystem from both founders and investors. This gets me really excited about 2024. -When you boil it all down, companies with high burn just destroy equity value. Plain and simple. -Interestingly, some of the best performing companies are ones that have survived up to this point who could not raise in 2021, when almost anyone could raise. They built a different culture and foundational muscle that has set them up for success. These companies are in high demand as a result of solid fundamentals, unit economics and capital efficiency. -The rise of classic principal / agent issues between investors and founders. These are obvious and take place in any market cycle, but the flavor of the day right now is investors trying to maintain marks in their portfolio by funding companies flat or bridging companies when they really need to be totally repriced. Venture investors are incentivized to do this as they try to raise additional LP capital to maintain performance that they use to attract that LP capital. But many venture investors know that there’s little to no chance that the flat-round or bridge-round financed overvalued company will ever grow into its valuation with its current runway or reach profitability. This is a classic “kicking the can down the road” type of behavior, and is not what’s best for the company, the shareholders or the founders. Repricing things as they are currently worth sets a new baseline on which expectations can be recalibrated and future objectives can reasonably be achieved.
