Suggestions
Clark Peterson
Co-Founder of Indie Mortgage | Licensed Mortgage Loan Officer with Go Rascal Inc. (NMLS ind. 2466849 | NMLS co. 2072896)
Clark Peterson is the co-founder of Indie Mortgage, where he also serves as a licensed mortgage loan officer. He has a background in finance and has been involved in developing digital home finance advisory products aimed at modern home buyers. Peterson is a graduate of Harvard Business School, which underscores his expertise in the financial sector.13
In addition to his role at Indie Mortgage, he has been associated with Stuga, another company focused on home finance solutions.2 His professional experience reflects a commitment to innovative approaches in the mortgage industry, catering to the evolving needs of consumers.1
Highlights
Baby Boomers currently own 32 million housing units.
Some are predicting a "silver tsunami" of housing supply hitting the market as these homeowners retire and age out of their homes.
Will it be enough to fix our housing affordability challenges?
The short answer is no.
The long answer is not in any time horizon that would be helpful to you if you want to buy a home.
While there will be 9.2 million fewer Boomer households over the next decade or so, the annual net reductions in the coming years are only a few hundred thousand per year - far less than the increasing demand for housing we currently see from Millennials and Gen Z.
It's going to take time, but our housing market will gradually correct and find a more sustainable footing. Just don't place your immediate hopes in the silver tsunami.
Great piece from Lance Lambert.
What’s the biggest threat to the US housing market?
It’s probably not what you think.
Like generals who are always fighting the last war, we always seem to see the next housing market crash right around the corner.
And that’s understandable. For many of us, our Millennial brains are a little broken about housing crashes.
After all, our first experience with the US housing market was when it collapsed and nearly brought down the global financial system (and our employment prospects) with it.
But right now I think the biggest threat to the housing market is the opposite - it’s Canada.
No, an invasion isn’t imminent (though maybe we should be keeping a better eye on them).
What I mean is that the US housing market might be at risk of looking more like Canada’s - an acutely unaffordable housing market with prices that grind higher and higher over time.
Check out the chart below. Canada’s housing market went completely bonkers from 2010 to 2017. And then after that? It went even more bonkers!
The chart is from about 18 months ago. Since then, Canadian home values have come down meaningfully from their bubbly peaks in 2022. But they’re still up massively over any other time period.
I’m not predicting that what happened to Canada’s housing market is absolutely going to happen here.
But due to the imbalance between supply and demand for homes in the US, the risks are skewed more towards that direction.
It’d be ironic if the generation that entered the workforce during a housing-driven financial crisis confronted a generational housing affordability crisis just as they became home-buying age. Wouldn’t that just be our luck?
