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Marcos Lopez de Prado
Global Head - Quantitative R&D at ABU DHABI INVESTMENT AUTHORITY (ADIA), Professor of Practice at CORNELL UNIVERSITY
Marcos López de Prado is a distinguished hedge fund manager, entrepreneur, inventor, and dedicated academic known for his transformative contributions to the finance sector over the last 25 years. With a robust foundation in machine learning and statistical inference, Marcos has positioned himself at the forefront of modern finance, bringing innovation through implementation of groundbreaking methodologies and the Big Science model within some of the world’s largest investment firms. His profound expertise has been recognized globally, earning him numerous prestigious awards and accolades throughout his illustrious career.
In his current role, Marcos serves as the global head of quantitative research and development at the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA), which is one of the largest sovereign wealth funds globally. His responsibilities encompass steering quant research initiatives and fostering advancements in data and computational sciences, significantly impacting the financial landscape. He is also a founding board member of ADIA Lab, the research center aimed at promoting study and innovation in data science.
Before joining ADIA, Marcos demonstrated extraordinary entrepreneurial spirit by founding True Positive Technologies LP (TPT). This firm has successfully advised clients with a combined total of Assets Under Management (AUM) in excess of $1 trillion and has developed innovative technologies that have been commercialized through patents purchased by major asset management firms. Marcos has also held prominent positions at respected financial institutions, notably as a partner and the inaugural head of machine learning at AQR Capital Management. His leadership at Guggenheim Partners in the Quantitative Investment Strategies division saw the management of a significant portfolio worth $13 billion, achieving an impressive risk-adjusted return with an information ratio of 2.3.
In addition to his professional roles, since 2011, Marcos has been closely aligned with academic research as a fellow at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, affiliated with the U.S. Department of Energy. An esteemed scholar, he has made substantial contributions to the field through the publication of nearly 100 scientific articles focused on financial machine learning and statistical inference in leading journals. He is also a founding co-editor of The Journal of Financial Data Science, which highlights his commitment to advancing the field through scholarly excellence. His textbooks, such as 'Advances in Financial Machine Learning' and 'Machine Learning for Asset Managers', are recognized for their significant impact in educating new generations of finance professionals.
Marcos's educational background is impressive. He earned two PhDs: one in financial econometrics from Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia (U.N.E.D.) in 2003, and another in mathematical finance from Universidad Complutense de Madrid in 2011. Furthermore, he has participated in prestigious post-doctoral research fellowships that include opportunities at Harvard University and Cornell University. At Cornell, he also served as a Professor of Practice, lending his expertise in machine learning to the next generation of students.
Beyond his professional accolades and academic contributions, Marcos has received several prestigious awards acknowledging his innovation and influence in the finance and academic communities. Some of these accolades include the National Award for Academic Excellence from the Kingdom of Spain in 1999, the Quant Researcher of the Year Award from Portfolio Management Research in 2019, and the Buy-Side Quant of the Year Award from Risk.net in 2021. His most recent recognition, the Bernstein Fabozzi / Jacobs Levy Award from The Journal of Portfolio Management in 2024, is a testament to his ongoing impact in the field.
Marcos's recognition extends into influential discussions, including testifying before the U.S. Congress regarding AI policy, showcasing his role as a thought leader in the intersection of finance and technology. His noteworthy achievements and ongoing contributions stand as a pillar within the realm of financial research and quantitative analysis. Marcos López de Prado not only enhances investment strategies through innovative applications of machine learning but also shapes the landscape of finance through education and active participation in policy discussions. His reputation as a pioneer in quantitative finance is complemented by his commitment to innovation, research, and mentorship.
Highlights
Why has factor investing failed? Surely, it is not for lack of peer-review, considering the thousands of papers on the topic published at the top financial journals (including the Journal of Finance). And yet, the out-of-sample performance of the most popular factors is indistinguishable from noise (see below).
Until now, much of the blame for the failure of factor investing has been placed on multiple testing and p-hacking (for example, see Bailey et al. [2014], and Harvey and Liu [2020]). However, there is a second reason that is arguably more relevant to investors: Specification errors.
A common belief among researchers and investors is that specification errors are not dangerous, because an investment strategy based on a misspecified factor model will still be perform well as long as the underlying correlations remain constant and the beta is estimated with the correct sign. In a new ADIA Lab study released today, Vincent Zoonekynd and I have proved that this belief is false.
We show how canonical econometric practices favor misspecified factor models that are responsible for underperformance. As it is currently taught and practiced, factor investing is doomed to fail. Unless the econometric canon is rewritten, these errors will not be addressed, and factor investors have no reason to expect that performance will improve in the future.
To learn more, read: https://lnkd.in/dmKcBgsX
I am proud to announce that Stanford Professor and Nobel Prize laureate Steven Chu has joined ADIA Lab's Advisory Board.
Professor Chu is an internationally renowned scientist who was named co-winner of the 1997 Nobel Prize in Physics alongside Claude Cohen-Tannoudji and William D. Phillips "for development of methods to cool and trap atoms with laser light". Over recent years he has focused on the search for new solutions to energy and climate challenges, both as US Secretary of Energy from 2009 to 2013 and, before that, as Director of the Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, where he explored alternative and renewable energy technologies.
ADIA Lab is Abu Dhabi's center for fundamental and applied research in computational and data sciences. We develop systems and methods needed to extract actionable insights from the vast ocean of data, with wide-ranging applications for the benefit of society.
To learn more, please visit www.adialab.ae
