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Santosh Navlani
Fintech Entrepreneur & COO, ET Money
Santosh Navlani is an accomplished entrepreneur and start-up specialist with a strong focus on Consumer Internet. He possesses a diverse skill set that encompasses various aspects of business development, product strategy, customer development, marketing, CRM, fund-raising, and team building. Currently, Santosh is utilizing his expertise as an intrapreneur at DSP BlackRock Mutual Fund, overseeing digital initiatives within an established and successful business landscape. His previous experience includes co-founding moneysights.com, a fintech start-up that was later acquired by Times Internet, as well as holding key roles at prominent companies like InMobi and burrp.com. Santosh's specialties lie in converting concepts into marketable products, expanding product reach via strategic maneuvers, implementing business automation solutions, and excelling in loyalty marketing and CRM.
Highlights
𝐘𝐨𝐮 𝐤𝐧𝐨𝐰, 𝐢𝐭'𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐡𝐨𝐰 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐭 𝐬𝐞𝐥𝐥𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐚𝐥𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐬𝐞𝐞𝐦 𝐭𝐨 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐮𝐧𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐚 𝐰𝐚𝐲 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐬𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐢𝐫 𝐨𝐰𝐧 𝐚𝐠𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐚. 𝐒𝐨𝐦𝐞𝐭𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐬, 𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐲 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐧 𝐚𝐯𝐨𝐢𝐝 𝐭𝐚𝐥𝐤𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐚𝐛𝐨𝐮𝐭 𝐫𝐞𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐬 𝐚𝐥𝐭𝐨𝐠𝐞𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐫.
It's a tough reality, but what amuses me is when investors adopt the language and terms of investment sellers to discuss returns, losing sight of the proper lens for evaluating investments. 🔎
But here's the thing: By not using the proper evaluation lens, we increase the likelihood of achieving sub-optimal returns. 👎
Wouldn't it be more sensible to compare returns using a standardized metric? Something like compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) or XIRR?🎯
𝐋𝐞𝐭 𝐦𝐞 𝐞𝐱𝐩𝐥𝐚𝐢𝐧:
Mutual Funds always communicate their returns as CAGR. Never absolute gains. If done at all, it's accompanied by a CAGR so as to not misguide.
When real estate brokers sell you the idea of investing in an apartment - they communicate selectively about the most appreciated properties, rarely with reference to the time period in which the money was gained. 🏡
It will not be wrong to say that a gold jeweler sells the same way!
Insurance agents pitch scenarios like "Invest X amount and receive 1.5/1.8/2X after Y years for Z years, always focussing on income guarantees.
Whereas, a stock brokerage app never presents the actual returns that real customers have consistently achieved. Instead, they focus on selling past successful ideas, highlighting long-term gains in NIFTY/SENSEX, and attempting to convert you into a habitual trader. 💹
Banks on the other hand communicate the interest rate on fixed deposits (FD) as an annual return, regardless of the investment duration. However, depositors actually receive a compounded annual return. 🏧
𝐃𝐨𝐧'𝐭 𝐲𝐨𝐮 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐤, 𝐚𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐬, 𝐰𝐞 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐛𝐞𝐭𝐭𝐞𝐫 𝐨𝐟𝐟 𝐢𝐟 𝐰𝐞 𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐫𝐭 𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐤𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐚𝐭 𝐠𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐬 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐫𝐞𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐬 𝐝𝐢𝐟𝐟𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐥𝐲?
Simply put, the gain is an appreciation in price over one's purchase price. Returns, on the other hand, are a more intricate concept that involves various complexities. Even finance wizards need a calculator for finding the CAGR.
When you start looking at every investment with the same method for return evaluation, you won't fall into the traps of an investment product seller.
Next time someone pitches you an investment product, make sure to have the CAGR calculator from ET Money. It's a handy tool that can be accessed whenever you need it. 💯 💰
In 2013, a major portion of my savings started dwindling. And that portion of my savings wasn't something I could afford to lose. The worst part - it was entirely my fault. ✋
Just three years before this happened, everything went as planned. In fact, it turned out to be better than I had expected.
I started investing in equities soon after the Global Financial Crisis in 2008, hoping to make a killing. In the next two years, made decent returns. 💰
By the end of 2010, I cashed out of equities and parked the money in my bank account.
I also stayed clear of equities as markets were not expected to do well in 2011. Even this turned out to be a good decision, as that year was terrible for equities.
My confidence was sky-high. 🚀
Some time in 2012, as a family we were inclined to buy a house. I had planned to use these savings as a down payment. 🏘
As the money was sitting idle in the bank account, I had parked it in Liquid Funds, where I could make better returns than a savings bank account interest rate.
But then I got a little adventurous. This is where I was wrong. I was overconfident and naïve.
👉 My Overconfidence
All of 2011, the RBI kept hiking policy rates. Inflation was high, and the central bank had no choice. Towards the end of that year, inflation showed some signs of easing.
There was chatter that the RBI would cut rates. Even the government asked RBI to lower policy rates to help in economic growth. If interest rates fall, debt funds that play interest rate cycles are expected to give better returns. It was a no-brainer.
👉 My Naive Side
I believed there are only three kinds of debt funds—safe, safer and safest. I wasn't financially literate enough to think debt funds could give negative returns for an extended period of time or can erode some portion of my principal investment too.
I went ahead and invested in a Dynamic Bond Fund.
In 2012, there was only one rate cut and this worked in favour of Dynamic Bond Funds. I made more returns than fixed deposits.
But then came 2013. Instead of reducing rates, RBI started increasing them. Most of my alpha (returns) evaporated. This went on for four straight months.
As an investor, it's tough to not assume one's notional gains as real ones. And I was no different.
I agonized over the decision for both reasons - losing alpha and as well as doing so much leg work to ultimately feel so let down by the moves I made.
I didn't know what to do.
Finally, I decided to give it one more month. If it didn't improve, I would cut my greed and exit.
Luckily, it did improve.
I exited the fund as soon as I recovered some part of the lost alpha.
Those few months were hard, but I learnt my lesson.
Since then, I have never invested in debt funds chasing returns. ❌
That year, I realized debt fund investments are for 'return of principal' – not 'return on the principal'. ✔
And post that I made a decision to not play interest rate cycle on my short-term money ever again.
